{"id":284,"date":"2021-11-25T12:02:10","date_gmt":"2021-11-25T03:02:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/?p=284"},"modified":"2021-12-22T10:36:34","modified_gmt":"2021-12-22T01:36:34","slug":"%e6%99%82%e7%b3%bb%e5%88%97%e8%a7%a3%e6%9e%90%e3%82%b7%e3%83%aa%e3%83%bc%e3%82%ba%e2%91%a0-%e6%99%82%e7%b3%bb%e5%88%97%e3%83%87%e3%83%bc%e3%82%bf%e3%81%ae%e5%9f%ba%e7%a4%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/?p=284","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u5165\u9580\u30111. \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u306e\u6982\u8981"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u3068\u306f\u4f55\uff1f<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3044\u304d\u306a\u308a\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001<strong>\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790<\/strong> (\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u5206\u6790\u3068\u3082\u3044\u3046) \u3068\u306f\u306a\u3093\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1fweblio\u8f9e\u66f8\u3067\u306f\u4e0b\u8a18\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u3058\u3051\u3044\u308c\u3064\u2010\u3076\u3093\u305b\u304d\u3010\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u5206\u6790\u3011<\/p><p>\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u6642\u9593\u5909\u52d5\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u5f79\u7acb\u3066\u308b\u624b\u6cd5\u3002\u682a\u4fa1\u30fb\u70ba\u66ff\u30ec\u30fc\u30c8\u30fb\u6d88\u8cbb\u9700\u8981\u30fb\u6c17\u6e29\u3084\u96e8\u91cf\u306a\u3069\u306e\u81ea\u7136\u73fe\u8c61\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u50be\u5411\u30fb\u5468\u671f\u30fb\u4e0d\u898f\u5247\u306a\u3075\u308b\u307e\u3044\u306a\u3069\u3092\u3001\u89e3\u6790\u7684\u30fb\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u30fb\u78ba\u7387\u7684\u306a\u624b\u6cd5\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3066\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6307\u3059\u3002<\/p><cite> weblio\u8f9e\u66f8<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u3053\u306e\u7121\u5473\u4e7e\u71e5\u3068\u3057\u305f\u8f9e\u66f8\u7684\u8aac\u660e\u306b\u5177\u4f53\u4f8b\u3092\u6dfb\u3048\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u306e\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3092\u3056\u3063\u304f\u308a\u3068\u63b4\u3093\u3067\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>weblio\u8f9e\u66f8\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u306f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u300c\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u6642\u9593\u5909\u52d5\u300d\u3092<\/li><li>\u5206\u6790\u3057\u305f\u308a<\/li><li>\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u305f\u308a\u3059\u308b<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3068\u3056\u3063\u304f\u308a\u5206\u89e3\u3067\u304d\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u3053\u306e3\u9805\u76ee\u306e\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u304c\u6e67\u304f\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5177\u4f53\u4f8b\u3092\u6dfb\u3048\u306a\u304c\u3089\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1.1\u300c\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u6642\u9593\u5909\u52d5\u300d\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u307e\u305a\u3001\u300c\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u6642\u9593\u5909\u52d5\u300d\u3092<strong>\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/strong>\u3068\u3044\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u3067\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u547c\u3070\u308c\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u307f\u3092\u6271\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u62bd\u8c61\u7684\u904e\u304e\u3066\u3001\u4f55\u3082\u982d\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u3053\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3001\u5177\u4f53\u4f8b\u3092\u7528\u610f\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u4e0b\u8a18\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u6c17\u6e29\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306a\u3069\u304c\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u306a\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3059\u3002\u62bd\u8c61\u5177\u4f53\u3092\u5bfe\u5fdc\u4ed8\u3051\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61(=\u6c17\u5019)\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf(=\u6c17\u6e29)\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a(=1\u9031\u9593\u5206)\u306e\u6642\u9593\u5909\u52d5\u300d\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u65e5\u4ed8<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u6771\u4eac\u90fd\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/01<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16.8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/02<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17.7<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/03<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17.1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/04<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15.5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/05<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15.3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/06<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14.9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/07<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15,7<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><figcaption>\u51fa\u5178\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.data.jma.go.jp\/obd\/stats\/etrn\/view\/daily_s1.php?prec_no=44&amp;block_no=47662&amp;year=2021&amp;month=11&amp;day=&amp;view=\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.data.jma.go.jp\/obd\/stats\/etrn\/view\/daily_s1.php?prec_no=44&amp;block_no=47662&amp;year=2021&amp;month=11&amp;day=&amp;view=\">\u56fd\u571f\u4ea4\u901a\u7701\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81HP<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3001weblio\u8f9e\u66f8\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u306f\u5c11\u3057\u3070\u304b\u308a\u4e0d\u6b63\u78ba\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u306f\u300c<strong>\u4e00\u5b9a\u306e\u9593\u9694\u3067\u89b3\u6e2c\u3057\u305f<\/strong>\u3001\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u6642\u9593\u5909\u52d5\u300d\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u518d\u5ea6\u3001\u4e0a\u8a18\u306e\u4f8b\u306b\u5f53\u3066\u306f\u3081\u308b\u3068\u3001\u300c<strong>\u4e00\u5b9a\u306e\u9593\u9694\u3067<\/strong>(=1\u65e5\u3054\u3068\u306b)<strong>\u89b3\u6e2c\u3057\u305f<\/strong>\u3001\u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61(=\u6c17\u5019)\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf(=\u6c17\u6e29)\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a(=1\u9031\u9593\u5206)\u306e\u6642\u9593\u5909\u52d5\u300d\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u6df7\u540c\u3055\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b<strong>\u70b9\u904e\u7a0b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/strong>\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u70b9\u904e\u7a0b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u306f\u300c\u3042\u308b\u6642\u9593\u9593\u9694\u3054\u3068\u306e\u6e2c\u5b9a\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3042\u308b\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u305f\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u6e2c\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u300d\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3044\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u5730\u9707\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306a\u3069\u304c\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u306a\u70b9\u904e\u7a0b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6c17\u6e29\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u540c\u69d8\u3001\u6642\u9593\u3068\u7d10\u3065\u304f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4e00\u5b9a\u6642\u9593\u9593\u9694\u3067\u6e2c\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u5730\u9707\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u305f\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u3067\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u8a18\u9332\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u767a\u751f\u6642\u523b<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u9707\u6e90\u5730<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u30de\u30b0\u30cb\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c9<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u6700\u5927\u9707\u5ea6<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/24 18:55<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u4e0e\u90a3\u56fd\u5cf6\u8fd1\u6d77<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M5.2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2021\/11\/24 17:06<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u5ca9\u624b\u770c\u6c96<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M4.7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"> 2021\/11\/24 04:25 <\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u9577\u91ce\u770c\u5357\u90e8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M3.0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"> 2021\/11\/23 23:52 <\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u9e7f\u5150\u5cf6\u6e7e<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M2.1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"> 2021\/11\/23 20:30<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u56db\u56fd\u6c96<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M3.6<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"> 2021\/11\/23 18:48<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u5bae\u57ce\u770c\u6c96<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M5.0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"> 2021\/11\/23 08:52<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u5343\u8449\u770c\u5357\u6771\u6c96<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">M3.7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><figcaption>\u51fa\u5178\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/earthquake.tenki.jp\/bousai\/earthquake\/entries\/\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/earthquake.tenki.jp\/bousai\/earthquake\/entries\/\">\u65e5\u672c\u6c17\u8c61\u5354\u4f1aHP<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4e0a\u8a18\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u70b9\u904e\u7a0b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u5bfe\u8c61\u3068\u3057\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002(\u70b9\u904e\u7a0b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u89e3\u6790\u3092\u5e83\u304f\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u306b\u542b\u3081\u308b\u6d41\u5100\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5206\u6790\u5bfe\u8c61\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3068\u70b9\u904e\u7a0b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u5206\u3051\u308b\u7406\u7531\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e2\u3064\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u76ee\u7684\u306b\u9055\u3044\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3086\u3048\u306b\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u304c\u7570\u306a\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u533a\u5206<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u76ee\u7684<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u6642\u9593\u3068\u5171\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5909\u5316\u3059\u308b\u304b\u77e5\u308a\u305f\u3044<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u70b9\u904e\u7a0b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u3042\u308b\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u3044\u3064\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308b\u304b\u77e5\u308a\u305f\u3044<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1.2 \u300c\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u300d\u306f\u3001\u300c\u8a18\u8ff0\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u300c\u30e2\u30c7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u30462\u6bb5\u968e\u306e\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u3067\u69cb\u6210\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002(\u3053\u308c\u306f\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u306b\u9650\u3063\u305f\u8a71\u3067\u306a\u3044)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3067\u3001\u5177\u4f53\u4f8b\u3067\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u306a\u304c\u3089\u300c\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u306f\u4f55\u304b\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3059\u304c) \u5177\u4f53\u4f8b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4e0b\u8a18\u306e\u6570\u5024\u306e\u7f85\u5217\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>2, 6, 3, 1, 2, 6, 5, 3, 5, 5, 3, 1, 2, 2, 2, 6, 1, 3, 6, 6<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u25a0\u300c\u8a18\u8ff0\u3059\u308b\u300d<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c\u8a18\u8ff0\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u306f\u3001\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304b\u3089\u7279\u5fb4\u7684\u306a\u91cf\u3092\u62bd\u51fa\u3059\u308b\u884c\u70ba\u3067\u3059\u3002\u8981\u306f\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u8272\u3005\u3068\u6574\u7406\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3066\u300c\u4f55\u304b\u7279\u5fb4\u306a\u3044\u304b\u306a\uff5e\uff1f\u300d\u3068\u6839\u6398\u308a\u8449\u6398\u308a\u8abf\u3079\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3061\u306a\u307f\u306b\u3001\u300c\u8a18\u8ff0\u300d\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u3067\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u91cf\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092<strong>(\u8a18\u8ff0)\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf<\/strong>\u3068\u3044\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u306f 3.5 \u3067\u3001\u6700\u5927\u5024\u306f 6 \u3067\u3001\u6700\u5c0f\u5024\u306f 1 \u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306f\u3059\u3079\u3066\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u3092\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001(\u8a18\u8ff0)\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u3092\u8abf\u3079\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3068\u3001\u305f\u3060\u306e\u6570\u5b57\u306e\u7f85\u5217\u306b\u898b\u3048\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3001\u4f55\u304b\u3057\u3089\u306e\u50be\u5411\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5206\u304b\u3063\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c1\u304b\u30896\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5024\u3057\u304b\u3067\u306a\u3044\u307f\u305f\u3044\u3060\u306a\uff5e\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c\u5e73\u5747\u304c3.5\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u3082\u3057\u304b\u3057\u305f\u30891\u304b\u30896\u304c\u6e80\u904d\u306a\u304f\u3067\u308b\u306e\u304b\u306a\uff5e\uff1f\u305d\u3046\u3068\u3082\u9650\u3089\u306a\u3044\u304b\u306a\uff5e\uff1f\u6563\u3089\u3070\u308a\u5177\u5408\u3082\u8abf\u3079\u3066\u307f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u5206\u304b\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u306a\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304b\u3089\u7279\u5fb4\u91cf\u3092\u62bd\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u50be\u5411\u3092\u63b4\u3080\u306e\u304c\u300c\u8a18\u8ff0\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u25a0\u300c\u30e2\u30c7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3059\u308b\u300d<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c\u8a18\u8ff0\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u30d2\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u5143\u306b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u3067\u3042\u308d\u3046\u300c<strong>\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/strong>\u300d\u306b\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u306e\u304c\u3001\u300c\u30e2\u30c7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u3044\u304d\u306a\u308a\u767b\u5834\u3057\u305f\u300c\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u300d\u3068\u306f\u306a\u3093\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1f\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u3001<strong>\u3042\u308b\u898f\u5247\u306e\u5247\u3063\u3066\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u30de\u30b7\u30f3<\/strong> \u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1030\" height=\"388\" src=\"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/image-11.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-308\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u51fa\u76ee\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306f\u3001\u300c1\u304b\u30896\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u5024\u306f\u51fa\u3055\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3001\u300c1\u304b\u30896\u307e\u3067\u306e\u6570\u5024\u3092\u3069\u308c\u3082\u540c\u3058\u304f\u3089\u3044\u306e\u983b\u5ea6\u3067\u51fa\u3059\u300d\u306a\u3069\u306e<strong>\u898f\u5247\u306b\u5247\u3063\u3066<\/strong>\u3001<strong>\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u307e\u3059<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b9f\u306f\u3001\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u51fa\u76ee\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u3092\u6570\u5f0f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u8868\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ \u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u51fa\u76ee\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u306e\u6570\u5f0f\u8868\u73fe\uff1a \u3000\u3000p(x_1,&#8230;,x_6) = \\prod_{i=1}^{6}\\Bigl(\\frac{1}{6} \\Bigl )^{x_i} $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u3093\u306a\u611f\u3058\u3067\u3001 <strong>\u3042\u308b\u898f\u5247\u306e\u5247\u3063\u3066\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u30de\u30b7\u30f3<\/strong> (\u307e\u305f\u306f\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u305f\u3082\u306e) \u3092<strong>\u6570\u5f0f\u8868\u73fe\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e<\/strong>\u304c\u300c<strong>\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/strong>\u300d\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3063\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u3061\u306a\u307f\u306b\u3001\u4e0a\u8a18\u306e\u300c \u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u51fa\u76ee\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u306e\u6570\u5f0f\u8868\u73fe \u300d\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092\u300c\u30ab\u30c6\u30b4\u30ea\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u5e03 (\u306e\u4e00\u4f8b)\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u8a18\u8ff0\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u30d2\u30f3\u30c8\u304b\u3089\u300c1\u304b\u30896\u3057\u304b\u51fa\u306a\u3044\u3057\u3001\u5e73\u57473.5\u3060\u3057\u30ab\u30c6\u30b4\u30ea\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u5e03\u304b\u3089\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3093\u3058\u3083\u306a\u3044\uff1f\uff1f\u300d\u3068\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u80cc\u5f8c\u306b\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u3092\u3064\u3051\u305f\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b<strong>\u89b3\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u3067\u3042\u308d\u3046\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306b\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u884c\u70ba<\/strong>\u3092\u300c\u30e2\u30c7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(\u5b9f\u969b\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u79c1\u304c\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u309220\u56de\u632f\u3063\u3066\u51fa\u305f\u76ee\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u59a5\u5f53\u306a\u63a8\u6e2c\u3067\u3059\u3002)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u305f\u3061\u304c\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306b\u305f\u304f\u3055\u3093\u306e\u300c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u30de\u30b7\u30f3=\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u300d\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u3066\u304f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u307e\u305a\u306f\u3069\u3093\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b\u5b66\u7fd2\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eca\u5f8c\u3001AR\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3001ARMA\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3084ARCH\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306a\u3069\u3001\u25cb\u25cb\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u3044\u3046\u540d\u306e\u3064\u3044\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3092\u4f55\u500b\u304b\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u300c\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30b8\u3092\u5ff5\u982d\u306b\u7f6e\u304f\u3068\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u304c\u4f55\u8005\u304c\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u4f8b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u300c\u80cc\u5f8c\u306b\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u30ab\u30c6\u30b4\u30ea\u30ab\u30eb\u5206\u5e03\u3060\uff01\u300d\u3068\u3001\u77ed\u7d61\u7684\u306b\u7d50\u8ad6\u4ed8\u3051\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u672c\u6765\u306f\u305f\u304f\u3055\u3093\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u691c\u8a0e\u3057\u3066\u3001\u3069\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304c\u6700\u3082\u59a5\u5f53\u3060\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u308b\u304b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u59a5\u5f53\u6027\u3092\u5224\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u57fa\u6e96\u3068\u3057\u3066\u300c\u8d64\u6c60\u60c5\u5831\u91cf\u57fa\u6e96 (AIC)\u300d\u3001\u300c\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u60c5\u5831\u91cf\u57fa\u6e96 (BIC)\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u91cf\u304c\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3001\u672c\u30b7\u30ea\u30fc\u30ba\u3067\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1.3 \u300c\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u300c\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u300d\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3092\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u524d\u6bb5\u968e\u306e\u300c\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3067\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u80cc\u5f8c\u306b\u3042\u308b\u300c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u300d\u306b\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u3092\u3064\u3051\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4eee\u5b9a\u306e\u4e0b\u3067\u306a\u3089\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304b\u3089\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u3082\u4f55\u304b\u3057\u3089\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u3067\u304d\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u3001\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u4f8b\u3067\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c(\u3082\u3057\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u51fa\u76ee\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304b\u3089\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3089) \u3053\u308c\u304b\u30891\u304c10\u56de\u9023\u7d9a\u3057\u3066\u3067\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u4f4e\u305d\u3046\u3060\u306a\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c(\u3082\u3057\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u30b5\u30a4\u30b3\u30ed\u306e\u51fa\u76ee\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304b\u3089\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3089) \u3053\u308c\u304b\u3089\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u308b\u6570\u5024\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u306f3.5\u304f\u3089\u3044\u306b\u306a\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u306a\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>  \u306a\u3069\u3001\u300c\u7d76\u5bfe\u3053\u3046\u306a\u308b\uff01\u300d\u3068\u306f\u65ad\u8a00\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u3051\u308c\u3069\u3001\u300c\u3053\u3046\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u8d77\u304d\u3084\u3059\u305d\u3046\uff01\u8d77\u304d\u306b\u304f\u305d\u3046\uff01\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u3088\u3046\u306a\u672a\u6765\u306b\u8d77\u3053\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u7684\u306a\u8a00\u53ca\u306f\u3067\u304d\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u307e\u3055\u306b\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304c\u300c\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u306f<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5148\u3067\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u901a\u308a\u3001\u4e16\u306e\u4e2d\u306e\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u898b\u3048\u308b\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u88cf\u306b\u306f\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304c\u6f5c\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3001\u73fe\u8c61\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u3092\u542b\u3080\u7d71\u8a08\u89e3\u6790\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u59ff\u52e2\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u78ba\u7387\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u7279\u306b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u3082\u306e\u3092<strong>\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb<\/strong>\u3068\u547c\u3073\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7ae0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3046\u5c11\u3057\u5177\u8c61\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2.1 \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u96f0\u56f2\u6c17\u3092\u63b4\u3080<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u904e\u7a0b \\( \\{y_t\\}_{t\\in T} \\) \u306e\u5f62\u5f0f\u3067\u8868\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u78ba\u7387\u904e\u7a0b\u3068\u306f\u3001\u6642\u523b \\(t\\) \u3067\u6dfb\u3048\u5b57\u3065\u3051\u3089\u308c\u305f\u78ba\u7387\u5909\u6570\u306e\u96c6\u307e\u308a\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u78ba\u7387\u5909\u6570\u3068\u306f\u3001<strong>\u6570\u5024\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u5358\u4f53<\/strong>\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6307\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u904e\u7a0b\u3068\u306f\u3001\u5404\u6642\u523b\u3054\u3068\u306b\u62c5\u5f53\u306e\u6570\u5024\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u304c\u96c6\u307e\u3063\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3068\u3067\u3082\u8a00\u3044\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/image-14.png\" alt=\"\u753b\u50cf\u306b alt \u5c5e\u6027\u304c\u6307\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u30d5\u30a1\u30a4\u30eb\u540d: image-14.png\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eba\u306b\u306f\u898b\u3048\u306a\u3044\u4e16\u754c\u3067\u3001\u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u300c\u6570\u5024\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u300d\u304c\u5de6\u304b\u3089\u30dd\u30f3\u30dd\u30f3\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6570\u5024\u304c\u3001\u6642\u9593\u306e\u7d4c\u904e\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u73fe\u5b9f\u4e16\u754c\u306b\u51fa\u73fe\u3059\u308b\u3001\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u308f\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u305f\u3060\u5358\u306b\u300c\u6570\u5024\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u300d\u3092\u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u306b\u3057\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6642\u9593\u306e\u7d4c\u904e\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u500b\u3005\u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u304c\u597d\u304d\u52dd\u624b\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002\u81ea\u5206\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u304c\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u6570\u5024\u306b\u306f\u76ee\u3082\u5411\u3051\u305a\u3001\u81ea\u7531\u5954\u653e\u306b\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u73fe\u308c\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u3001\u540c\u3058\u4e26\u3073\u306b\u3042\u308b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u6700\u9ad8\u6c17\u6e29\u304c40\u2103\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u305f\u6b21\u306e\u65e5\u306b\u3001\u53f3\u96a3\u306b\u3042\u308b\u30de\u30b7\u30f3 (\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u65e5\u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3) \u304c\u305d\u308c\u3092\u7121\u8996\u3057\u3066\u597d\u304d\u52dd\u624b\u306b-10\u2103\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u3053\u3068\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046 (\u5929\u5909\u5730\u7570\u3067\u3082\u8d77\u3053\u3089\u306a\u3044\u9650\u308a)\u3002 \u9006\u306b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u534a\u5e74\u5206\u53f3\u96a3\u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3 (\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u771f\u51ac\u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3) \u304c40\u2103\u3092\u51fa\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3082\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002( \u500b\u4eba\u7684\u306b\u306f\u51ac\u304c\u5acc\u3044\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u305d\u3046\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308c\u305f\u3089\u5b09\u3057\u3044\u306a)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u306f\u3001\u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u306e\u8005\u540c\u58eb\u3067\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304b\u3089\u69cb\u7bc9\u3059\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3082\u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u3092\u8272\u3005\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u63a5\u7d9a\u3057\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3001\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u5408\u3046\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u306b\u3057\u305f\u3044\u308f\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3064\u307e\u308a\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3059\u308b\u3068\u306f\u3001\u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u300e\u5358\u4f53\u30de\u30b7\u30f3 ( = \u78ba\u7387\u5909\u6570)  \u300f\uff11\u3064\uff11\u3064\u3092\u3064\u306a\u304e\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3001\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u540c\u58eb\u304c\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u5408\u3044\u306a\u304c\u3089\u6570\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u300e\u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u30de\u30b7\u30f3  ( = \u78ba\u7387\u904e\u7a0b)  \u300f\u3092\u4f5c\u308a\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u4ed6\u306a\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u5049\u5927\u306a\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u305f\u3061\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3001\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u306e\u7e4b\u304e\u8fbc\u307f\u65b9\u6cd5 (\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u540c\u58eb\u3092\u5f71\u97ff\u306e\u3055\u305b\u5408\u3046\u65b9\u6cd5) \u304c\u63d0\u6848\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306f\u3001\u307e\u305a\u305d\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u306a\u3064\u306a\u304e\u8fbc\u307f\u65b9\u3092\u5b66\u3076\u3068\u3044\u3046\u308f\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2.2  \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u30de\u30b7\u30f3 ( = \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb) \u306e\u6027\u80fd\u6307\u6a19\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u25a0 \u6a2a\u4e26\u3073\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u500b\u3005\u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u306e\u6027\u80fd\u6307\u6a19<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u6642\u523b \\(t\\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf \\(y_t\\) \u306e\u5e73\u5747 \\(\\mu_t = \\textrm{E}[y_t]\\) <\/li><li>\u6642\u523b \\(t\\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf \\(y_t\\) \u306e\u5206\u6563 \\(\\sigma_t^2 = \\textrm{Var}[y_t] =  \\textrm{E}[(y_t-\\mu_t)^2]\\)<\/li><li>\u6642\u523b \\(t\\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf \\(y_t\\) \u306e\u6a19\u6e96\u504f\u5dee \\(\\sigma_t = \\sqrt{\\textrm{Var}[y_t]}\\)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306f\u3001\u901a\u5e38\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u3067\u3082\u767b\u5834\u3059\u308b\u304a\u99b4\u67d3\u307f\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u7c21\u6f54\u306b\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u6642\u523b \\( t \\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf \\(y_t\\) \u304c\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u306b\u3069\u308c\u304f\u3089\u3044\u306e\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u304b\u3092\u8868\u3057\u305f\u5024\u304c\u5e73\u5747 \\(\\mu_t\\) \u3067\u3001\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u5024\u304c\u305d\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u304b\u3089\u3069\u308c\u304f\u3089\u3044\u6563\u3089\u3070\u308a\u3046\u308b\u304b\u8868\u3057\u305f\u6307\u6a19\u304c\u5206\u6563 \\( \\sigma_t^2\\) \u3084\u6a19\u6e96\u504f\u5dee \\( \\sigma_t \\) \u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u25a0 \u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u540c\u58eb\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u8a55\u4fa1\u3059\u308b\u6307\u6a19<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u540c\u58eb\u304c\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u5024\u304c\u3069\u306e\u304f\u3089\u3044\u4f3c\u305f\u5024\u3092\u5410\u304d\u51fa\u3059\u304b (\u4f3c\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3001\u306f\u305f\u307e\u305f\u5929\u90aa\u9b3c\u306e\u69d8\u306b\u53cd\u5bfe\u306e\u65b9\u5411\u306e\u5024\u3092\u3068\u308b\u304b) \u3092\u6e2c\u308b\u6307\u6a19\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u6642\u523b \\( t \\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b \\( k \\) \u6b21\u306e\u81ea\u5df1\u5171\u5206\u6563 <\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ \\gamma_{k,t} = \\textrm{Cov}[y_t, y_{t-k}] = \\textrm{E}[(y_t-\\mu_t)(y_{t-k}-\\mu_{t-k}) ] $$<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u6642\u523b \\(t\\) \u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u3068\u3001\u305d\u3053\u304b\u3089 \\(k\\) \u6642\u70b9\u524d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u6642\u523b \\(t-k\\) \u306e\u30de\u30b7\u30f3\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\( \\gamma_{k,t} \\) \u304c\u6b63\u306e\u5024\u306e\u3068\u304d\u3001\u6642\u523b \\( t \\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf \\(y_t\\) \u3068\u305d\u3053\u304b\u3089 \\( k \\) \u6642\u9593\u524d\u306e\u6642\u523b \\(t-k\\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf \\(y_{t-k}\\) \u306f\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u57fa\u6e96\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3001\u540c\u3058\u65b9\u5411\u306b\u52d5\u304f\u50be\u5411\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u3002(\u3061\u306a\u307f\u306b\u30010\u306a\u3089\u95a2\u4fc2\u306a\u3055\u305d\u3046\u3001\u8ca0\u306a\u3089\u53cd\u5bfe\u65b9\u5411\u306b\u52d5\u304d\u305d\u3046)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u305f\u3060\u3057\u81ea\u5df1\u5171\u5206\u6563\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5024\u304c\u5358\u4f4d\u306b\u4f9d\u5b58\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u3068\u3044\u3046\u554f\u984c\u70b9\u304c\u3042\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u81ea\u5df1\u5171\u5206\u6563\u3092\u6b63\u898f\u5316\u3057\u305f ( = \u5358\u4f4d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3057\u305f) \u81ea\u5df1\u76f8\u95a2\u4fc2\u6570\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6307\u6a19\u304c\u7528\u610f\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u6c17\u6e29\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u6442\u6c0f\u3068\u83ef\u6c0f\u3067\uff12\u901a\u308a\u3067\u8868\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u81ea\u5df1\u5171\u5206\u6563\u304c\u7570\u306a\u308b\u5024 (\u6b63\u8ca0\u306f\u4e00\u81f4\u3059\u308b) \u3092\u3068\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u5358\u4f4d\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3067\u3001\u5f71\u97ff\u5ea6\u5408\u3044\u3092\u8868\u3059\u6570\u5024\u304c\u5909\u5316\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u4e0d\u4fbf\u3067\u3059\u3002\u5358\u4f4d\u306f\u8868\u8a18\u3092\u5909\u3048\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u6307\u3059\u5143\u306e\u6570\u91cf\u306f\u5909\u308f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304b\u3089\u3002(6kg \u3068 6000g \u306f\u8868\u8a18\u306f\u9055\u3046\u304c\u3001\u540c\u3058\u6570\u91cf\u3092\u6307\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u6642\u523b \\( t \\) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b \\( k \\) \u6b21\u306e\u81ea\u5df1\u76f8\u95a2\u4fc2\u6570<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>$$ \\rho_{k,t} = \\textrm{Corr}[y_t, t_{t-k}] = \\frac{\\textrm{Cov}[y_t, t_{t-k}]}{\\sqrt{\\textrm{Var}[y_t]\\textrm{Var}[y_{t-k}] }} = \\frac{\\gamma_{k,t}}{\\sqrt{\\gamma_{0,k}\\gamma_{0,t-k}}} $<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\n<!--\n\n- \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u6642\u9593\u7684\u306a\u95a2\u9023\u3092\u7121\u8996\u3057\u3066 y_n \u306e\u5206\u5e03 ( \u5468\u8fba\u5206\u5e03 ) \u3060\u3051\u3092\u8abf\u3079\u3066\u3082\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u306f\u6349\u3048\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u3092\u6349\u3048\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001 y_n \u306e\u5206\u5e03\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u4e00\u822c\u306b y_n \u3068 y_n-k \u306e\u540c\u6642\u5206\u5e03\u3092\u307f\u3066\u3001\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u95a2\u9023\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u8abf\u3079\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5171\u5206\u6563\u3001\u76f8\u95a2\u4fc2\u6570etc...\n\n-->\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1. \u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790\u3068\u306f\u4f55\uff1f \u3044\u304d\u306a\u308a\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u89e3\u6790 (\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u5206\u6790\u3068\u3082\u3044\u3046) \u3068\u306f\u306a\u3093\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1fweblio\u8f9e\u66f8\u3067\u306f\u4e0b\u8a18\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u3058\u3051\u3044\u308c\u3064\u2010\u3076\u3093\u305b\u304d\u3010\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u5206\u6790\u3011 \u3042\u308b\u5bfe\u8c61\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6570\u91cf\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-5","category-6"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=284"}],"version-history":[{"count":46,"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":946,"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/284\/revisions\/946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=284"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=284"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.avelio.co.jp\/math\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=284"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}